The Birth Rate Crisis

The U.S. is on the brink of a demographic winter. 

Despite previous overpopulation fears, recent studies have found the U.S. and the entire world will soon be facing drastic population declines. 

As the U.S. shut down in response to the Coronavirus outbreak in March 2020, many projected a miniature baby boom. Shockingly, far from a boom, birth rates took a marked decline in the U.S., dropping 7% as of December 2020, nine months after March. 

The 7% drop in the national birth rate is part of a larger, ongoing downward trend in birth rates, a decline with potentially catastrophic consequences. 

The 2020 decline came at a time when the birth rate was already a dangerously low 1.71, well below the minimum 2.1 needed to simply replace a generation. 

Simultaneously, as recorded by Worldometer, the World Health Organization (WHO) reported that approximately 42.6 million abortions were committed worldwide in 2020.

Though the WHO does not count these abortions as deaths, this number far surpasses the other leading causes of death combined. 

Comparatively, the novel coronavirus, Covid-19, which caused global lockdowns and record unemployment, resulted in a total of over 1.8 million deaths worldwide in 2020 (as of March 31, 2021, John Hopkins University of Medicine reports 2,806,679 Covid-19 deaths). 

Overpopulation is simply not a reality. On the contrary, below replacement birth rates and aging populations means that the world population will begin dropping very soon. With this current trajectory, the global population is projected to peak in 2064, and then drop precipitously by nearly a billion by the end of the century. 

If the U.S. continues on this trajectory the country will be facing large numbers of elderly seeking retirement and not enough young people entering the workforce to replace them. 

Rather than undergoing resource shortages from too many people, the world and the U.S. are on track to suffer widespread privations due to a shortage of babies and young people.